I realise the dangers of unseating May, but if she is going to keep on throwing away Brexit item by item the idea that we should hold tight to nurse for fear of something worse nurse does not hold water. Nor is it inevitable that Labour or a coalition of Labour and other parties would engineer a vote of no confidence if she left office. Labour is riven with scandal and ideology at present and it is telling that Labour have not been able to build a healthy lead in the polls. Corbyn may be popular amongst certain sections of the public but he is mistrusted by many voters.
Robert Henderson
Astonishingly, the remainers have missed their best chance to hinder the Brexit process by failing to seriously oppose the motion put down by Theresa May that a General Election be held on 8 June. The motion was passed on 19 April 201`7 by 522 votes to 13.
This is an extraordinary result on the face of it. What is even more astonishing is the fact that the remainers could have defeated the motion quite easily. All they had to do was muster 217 votes or abstentions to overthrow the motion for an early election. Indeed, they could have done it simply by getting 217 MPs to abstain. The Labour Party, with 229 MPs, could have managed the matter on their own, as could a coalition of, say, two thirds of Labour MPs, the Scots Nat MPs and the LibDem MPs voting against or abstaining.
Let me divert for a moment to explain the status of abstentions in this context. In this vote an abstention has the same value as a vote against. This is because it is the total number of MPs who vote for the motion that matters, not the percentage of those who actually vote for or against a motion.
Under the Fixed Term Parliaments Act two thirds of the 650 member House of Commons have to vote for a motion proposing an early election. Two thirds of 650 is 434. Hence one vote against or one abstention can make a difference. If 433 MPs vote for the motion with, say, only 100 voting against but with 117 abstaining, the motion fails because it is one short of 434.
Even without any party opposing the motion a substantial number of MPs did not vote for it. Only 13 MPs may have voted against the motion but 115 abstained. This figure of 115 is arrived at as follows:
522 voted for the motion
13 voted against the motion
Therefore 115 MPs are unaccounted for after deducting those who voted. Six of these are:
The Speaker (who doesn’t vote unless there is a tie), Eric Kaufman (deceased, and his constituency was awaiting a by election), and 4 Sinn Fein MPs (who don’t take their seats and consequently don’t vote.)
That leaves 109 other wilful or accidental abstainers.
As 115 votes were either not used or used to vote against, it would only have required another 102 to either abstain or vote against the motion to stop the attempt to have a general election on 8 June. Had the various remainer Party leaders in the Commons put their weight behind a vote against. the motion it is probable that the motion would have been defeated.
Alternatively, if remain MPs of all parties had come together they might well have defeated the motion.
The fact that the remainer MPs failed to defeat the motion when it was well within their grasp to do so, or indeed to make any public noise about doing so, suggests that they were more afraid of losing their seats than they are motivated to carry on the battle against Brexit. Ironically, I suspect that was a false fear for many remainer MPs because they represent constituencies which voted to remain.
As far as the party leaders are concerned, voting against the motion could have been represented as reasonable both because Theresa May had said she would not call an election as it would be destabilising and on the grounds that this Parliament is only two years old and the clear intention of the Fixed Term Parliaments Act was to stop PMs calling elections to suit themselves and their party rather than the national interest.
If the remainer MPs had gathered enough votes and abstentions to defeat the motion it would have placed Theresa May in a very awkward position personally and removed from her the possibility of using a larger majority after an early General Election to drive through Brexit. It is indicative of a lack of commitment by remainers to their cause when it involves any danger or sacrifice. That is very useful to know. If they have looked gift horse in the mouth because they did not fancy the state of its teeth once they are very likely to do it again when the pressure is on.
As historians look back at the remainers ‘ failure to keep Theresa May locked in the position she was in before the motion was passed – stuck with a small majority and a General Election coming in 2019 just as the Brexit negotiations and the UK’s departure are due to come to a head – they will surely shake their heads in astonishment . No wonder for it is truly bewildering that there was no attempt by one or more of the Westminster parties which support the remainer cause to defeat the motion for an early General Election, thereby potentially greatly strengthening Theresa May and her government’s position.
I recently had this exchange of views on Twitter with a Leftist troll:-
Robin Tilbrook
What are British Laws when there are several jurisdictions in the UK? look at >>> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rNu8XDBSn10
The Difference between the United Kingdom, Great Britain and England Explained
“Chris”
British Laws are the collective laws of the UK over which the Supreme Court has jurisdiction.
Tilbrook Jan 24
Not so. It isn’t a proper “Supreme Court” like the US one. It has jurisdiction over the parameters of eg Scots’ Devolved Powers
“Chris” Jan 24
think you need to do a bit more research on their jurisdiction. Either way, UK Supreme Court, not of E&W, so British correct
Tilbrook Jan 24
As a litigation solicitor, I suspect I know more about the “Supreme Court’s” jurisdictions than most. http://robintilbrook.blogspot.co.uk/2016/11/brexit-befuddled-and-be-judged.html …
“Chris” Jan 24
As a member of a fascist group, I suspect you’re more blinded by ideological hatred than anything else, but there we are.
Robin Tilbrook Jan 24
Not true and shows what a hypocrite you are, being that you are the one who is blinded.
“Chris”
so, despite your profile, you’re not a member of a far right party with fascist beliefs?
Robin Tilbrook
The English Democrats are:- “Not Right, Not Left, Just ENGLISH!”
“Chris”
Are you even English? Have you had a DNA test? How long have your family been in this country? Do you test members?
Robin Tilbrook
Now who is being the Nazi?
“Chris”
Pointing out the absurdity of your ideology. Personally, I’m proud of my mixed background – Norman, Anglo-Saxon, Irish
Whilst it would be hard to summon much sympathy for “Chris”, as an individual, in fact he does express, albeit “through a glass, darkly” the commonly held Left-wing confusion between Racism, Nationalism, Nazism and Democracy.
Of course, as I put into the exchange, many Leftists, like “Chris”, are not interested in engaging in a sensible discussion about these matters. Their only purpose is to use what they think are ‘nasty’ words to smear people who they regard as political opponents. For this purpose Nationalist, Fascist and Nazi are all interchangeable, even if that usage tells you nothing about the real meaning of those words or the differences of political outlook that these words encompass.
We should try to be more sensible than “Chris” and have a look at the meanings of these words. Let’s start with “Democracy”. The word “Democracy” derives from the ancient Greek word for the rule of the “Demos” which means “the People”.
As regards the modern movement for democracy, whilst there were strands of it in the English tradition, which burst forth into full bloom in the foundation of the United States, the real impetus for much of democratic development comes from the French Revolution. The Revolutionaries talked of the “People” aka le Peuple”, and “liberté, égalité, fraternité”. The Revolution and the Napoleonic Wars overturned the assumptions, practices and politics of most of Europe.
The history of the remainder of the 19th Century and quite a bit of the 20th Century can be referred back to the forces of Democracy and Nationalism which had been unleashed by the French Revolution and by Napoleon.
In particular Democracy and Nationalism were seen by people as two sides of the same coin. Nationalists wanted to see their national group and its interests properly represented in Governmental systems and the “Nation” was seen as the same thing as the “People”. The rule of the “People” was thus expanded to be the rule of the “People of the Nation.”
One of the things we see in the modern world is that where a state occupies territory over which there is no concept of a single nation, it is impossible for that state to be democratic.
It is also worth observing that while nationalism and democracy have a large overlap there are of course versions of nationalism which are undemocratic, such as Fascism. Fascist leaders tended to claim that they were doing what the people of the nation wanted or was in their interest. Nevertheless Fascism was always opposed to representative parliamentary democracy.
Nazism and Fascism are basically both heretical offshoots of Marxist/Leninism. I would remind everybody that in 1932 Hitler made a well publicised speech in which he stated:-
We are socialists, we are enemies of today’s capitalistic economic system for the exploitation of the economically weak, with its unfair salaries, with its unseemly evaluation of a human being according to wealth and property instead of responsibility and performance, and we are all determined to destroy this system under all conditions.
And of course Hitler’s Party’s proper name translated into English, was the “National Socialist German Workers Party”.
Where Hitler departed from the basis on which nationalism had previously proceeded was in his ideology that there was an objective “Aryan” race the struggles of which are the basis of history. This is an idea in some respects similar to the Marxist delusion of there being an objective class, the “International Proletariat”. It’s also perhaps not all that surprising that Hitler wasn’t a German nationalist since he was after all Austrian!
Before we leave the subject of Democracy and Nationalism it is perhaps worth considering what Count Klemens von Metternich said in the early 19th Century about the Italian nationalist movement. He said:-
“The word “Italy” is a geographical expression, a description which is useful shorthand, but has none of the political significance the efforts of the revolutionary ideologues try to put on it, which is full of dangers for the very existence of the states which make up the peninsular”.
So comprehensively has that early 19th Century Statesman’s view of Italy been swept aside that I have met quite a few people who think that Italy has always been a nation! That Italy is a single nation state going back to ancient Rome.
It is worth remembering that Mussolini’s political objective was partly to try to bolster a sense of Italy being an united nation state, when in fact Italy had only become united in 1863 and the First World War had tested the idea of Italy almost to destruction. But he then went on to found the first nationalist movement which was not avowedly democratic i.e. the Fascists.
On the other side of the concept of representative democracy we have the emerging idea of “Liberal Democracy”, which “Chris” mentioned.
In England “Liberal Democracy” was really formed on the ideas of, amongst others, John Locke. The right to vote and to hold office was mostly dependent on owning property and therefore on being somebody with a stake in society. It was after all only in the late 19th Century in England that the right to vote was no longer limited to those people with property. Even until the 1960’s those who served on juries had to be rate payers and therefore householders.
Liberal Democracy’s roots therefore are not in Nationalism.
We have seen this very clearly in the outcome of the Brexit case, in which most of the judges have firmly stated that legally the terms of the constitution is not a “Democracy” in which the “People” would be the sovereign body. Instead the Judges ruled that the “Crown in Parliament” is “Sovereign”, the “People’s” view therefore merely advisory. This is the position of Liberal Democracy clearly expressed.
Nationalists and Democrats on the other hand would say with one voice that it is the “People” that should be “Sovereign” not the Crown in Parliament. Both would also say that Parliament, the Monarchy, Councillors, Local Government, etc., should be seen as all merely the institutions by which the Peoples’ Will is expressed.
As we are seeing the development of Brexit is exposing one of the great divides in the world!
Civil liberty and freedoms, democratic representative government and the right to innocence unless proven guilty were either invented, or adopted and improved, in England over the 1200 or so years from their starting point in Anglo-Saxon England to the present … Continue reading
If it is then my Vision for England is not possible. My Vision of an England Out of the EU Leaving the EU will allow us in England to get back the human and legal rights we gained from the … Continue reading
The word democracy comes from the Ancient Greek, the Rule of the Demos or the People.
In Athens and the other ancient Greek democratic City States the Demos, the People, were clearly defined by law, so that only those that qualified legally could become citizens and could vote.
Even in the modern world only those States which have a defined citizen body can properly be called a democracy, since if the citizen body is not defined properly then anyone, whether they be citizen or not, can vote.
What could be a clearer illustration of the extent to which unchecked and uncontrolled mass immigration and the New Labour project to replace the English people with a new and no doubt more politically useful population than Sadiq Khan’s call as set out in the article below?
Can anyone think of an example of a more self-interested and anti-patriotic stance by a British Establishment politician, or, indeed, a living example of the best possible reason to vote to Leave the EU whilst the possibility of us still being able to do so still exists by the use of the ballot box rather than (in Irish Republican terms) the Armalite?
Europe moved to the heart of London’s mayoral battle today as it emerged that the votes of a record half a million citizens from other EU states could be critical to the contest.
Labour’s Sadiq Khan launched an unprecedented campaign to persuade them to take revenge against Tory rival Zac Goldsmith for backing a British exit from the European Union.
Mr Khan said the Brexit campaign was putting at risk the rights of around a million EU citizens in London to live and work here. If Britain left the EU they could end up “having to leave London”, he said. The army of Europeans in London could become a significant political force as they make up around 10 per cent of the capital’s electorate.
A record 559,543 people from European countries outside the UK are registered to vote in the capital, according to figures released to Parliament.
Although they are not entitled to vote in the EU referendum or in Westminster elections, they all have the right to vote for a new Mayor on May 5 and for members of the London Assembly. Only 62,538 votes separated Boris Johnson from rival Ken Livingstone at the 2012 mayoral election.
The most recent mayoral poll suggested the gap between Mr Khan and Mr Goldsmith was about 140,000 votes.
A spokesman for Mr Goldsmith accused Mr Khan of “divisive scaremongering” and claimed the Labour candidate’s policies were a bigger risk to all Londoners. “This divisive scaremongering shows Khan doesn’t want to talk about the issues at stake in this Mayoral election — more homes, better transport, safer streets and cleaner air,” he said. “Zac’s job, if he is elected, will be to bring London together and make sure it flourishes. The real risk to London’s families is a four year Khan–Corbyn experiment in City Hall, with a £1.9 billion budget black hole, and the threat it presents to all our futures.”
Conservative MEP for London, Charles Tannock, said it could be the first major election where EU citizens are a major factor. “Generally EU citizens don’t turn out in large numbers for local elections and have been traditionally ignored by mainstream parties and candidates for that reason,” he told the Evening Standard.
“Things could change on May 5. There is no indication of that at present but the EU Referendum happening the following month may raise awareness of UK elections.” The number of EU citizens has risen since the last mayoral race in 2012 because of the arrival of young workers from countries such as Bulgaria and Hungary, whose citizens gained full freedom of movement in 2014.
London boroughs with the largest number of European citizens are Ealing (31,339), Lambeth (28,035) and Newham (25,562).
Mr Khan said that Euro-voters could become a significant factor because of the In-Out referendum. “Britain’s role in Europe is absolutely critical for all Londoners — supporting hundreds of thousands of jobs, and helping us keep Londoners safe,” he told the Standard.
“But our relationship with Europe is of even greater concern for the half a million European citizens in London. If Zac Goldsmith has his way and drags London out of Europe, they face massive uncertainty and even the prospect of having to leave London altogether.
“EU citizens in London won’t get a vote in the referendum, but they can still have their say by backing a Mayoral candidate who will campaign for Britain to remain in Europe. It’s clearly in all Londoners’ interests for Britain to remain in Europe.”
What do you think?
Here is a link to the original article >>> Zac Goldsmith and Sadiq Khan go to war over Brexit | Mayor | News | London Evening Standard